Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.496680 4.206277 4.999669 5.949040 7.050514 8.284446 9.767451
2025-03-16 2.468207 3.364452 4.474374 5.935645 7.792770 10.056821 13.006158
2025-03-23 1.831510 2.783968 4.071443 5.906960 8.418725 11.692830 16.232389
2025-03-30 1.341131 2.255372 3.594022 5.642875 8.633138 12.760138 18.789364
2025-04-06 1.061623 1.953840 3.355360 5.635614 9.149607 14.234821 21.988240
2025-04-13 0.848215 1.700196 3.129261 5.588203 9.567748 15.573932 25.080741
2025-04-20 0.746527 1.610098 3.141397 5.902088 10.553263 17.816408 29.662973
2025-04-27 0.646939 1.499065 3.093573 6.098987 11.357704 19.834116 34.047456
2025-05-04 0.577653 1.430113 3.105489 6.392323 12.340208 22.198807 39.133938
2025-05-11 0.483930 1.287630 2.952886 6.361797 12.752344 23.656492 42.860201
2025-05-18 0.388188 1.115916 2.710574 6.123228 12.758184 24.419900 45.482816
2025-05-25 0.306634 0.954939 2.459159 5.825481 12.611800 24.892609 47.627185
2025-06-01 0.259113 0.868285 2.356635 5.822797 13.036854 26.428131 51.753109
2025-06-08 0.220795 0.795531 2.272467 5.846835 13.516103 28.099384 56.237530
2025-06-15 0.186604 0.724051 2.177331 5.831722 13.911600 29.641689 60.589884
2025-06-22 0.147471 0.623768 1.989254 5.575068 13.774440 30.160089 63.098757
2025-06-29 0.125254 0.570779 1.913253 5.569483 14.166874 31.722389 67.639940
2025-07-06 0.105227 0.517935 1.826335 5.523118 14.461886 33.108647 71.926801
2025-07-13 0.098744 0.513794 1.878118 5.834061 15.587969 36.239477 79.750186
2025-07-20 0.089571 0.495750 1.885129 6.029076 16.464608 38.915193 86.828989
2025-07-27 0.083610 0.489109 1.926031 6.319539 17.589535 42.174399 95.230856
2025-08-03 0.071270 0.449264 1.853294 6.289324 17.946866 43.841566 100.538488
2025-08-10 0.057075 0.393553 1.714966 6.053117 17.777257 44.367875 103.560025